Headlines from Western media read:

Reuters: The era of aircraft carriers is coming to an end; 🇺🇸 USS Abraham Lincoln limps out of the Persian Gulf.

Reuters: With its military ingenuity, Iran 🇮🇷 has proven that aircraft carriers are no longer “invincible fortresses,” but merely large and expensive targets.

CNN: The return of USS Abraham Lincoln to the United States 🇺🇸 in this condition is the biggest blow to the reputation of the U.S. military since the Vietnam War.

 Sputnik: The legend is dead; 🇺🇸 Abraham Lincoln arrived to threaten, but is returning as a floating pile of scrap.

AFP (Agence France-Presse): Panic in the Pentagon; with the withdrawal of USS Abraham Lincoln, the balance of power in West Asia has definitively shifted in favor of Iran. No one can rely on American protection anymore.

The Telegraph: This defeat will go down in history as “the moment when Western naval dominance faltered.”

The extent to which Iran has already destroyed the military of the United States cannot be overstated.

DIGITAL ZOMBIES IN ISRAEL

Evidence That Israel’s Leadership Has Been Wiped Out, and Washington Is Running the War

While corrupt mainstream media such as CNN, BBC and Al Jazeera feed us polished lies and censorship, the facts on the ground tell a truth that no one dares to speak: Israel has been decapitated. The political and military leadership of the country no longer exists.

Seven Days of Silence: Where Are the Bodies?

Benjamin Netanyahu and Itamar Ben-Gvir have not been seen live, in color and in front of real people for more than seven days. Instead, we are served pathetic AI-generated videos with anomalies that even a child would recognize—from “six fingers” to unnatural shadows and the movement of liquids. If the man were alive, wouldn’t he step in front of journalists for 10 seconds and silence the entire world? He doesn’t appear because there is no one to appear.

Witkoff’s Breakdown: The Moment the Truth Leaked

There is no stronger evidence than an honest human reaction. American special envoy Steve Witkoff receives an urgent call from Trump in the middle of an interview. He returns to the cameras pale as a sheet, visibly shaken and disoriented. A man who had been confident just minutes earlier suddenly stammers and loses focus. That is the face of a man who has just learned that the state he is negotiating with has lost its head. That call was the death notice the public is still not allowed to hear.

The Mysterious Flight Over Gaza: A Plane as a Flying Morgue

While the media remained silent, a bizarre flight of Netanyahu’s official plane toward Berlin was recorded. Instead of taking a direct route, it circled above Gaza for a full four hours. Why? Everything points to a desperate attempt to maintain “status” until a decision was made about what to do with the body—or the plane served as a flying intensive care unit for a prime minister in a coma. Those four hours of circling were time bought to coordinate with Washington before the “machine” was officially switched off.

Digital Traces of Panic: Deleted Evidence and the Family’s Silence

In a moment of total confusion, the Israeli government posted on X that reports of the death were “UNCONFIRMED.” The tweet was deleted at lightning speed once someone realized they had just admitted chaos. Add to that the eerie silence of Yair Netanyahu, who since March 8 has not dared to “utter a word” on social media. He is silent because it is all over.

Mass Elimination: The IDF in Total Disarray and Panic

Iranian strikes did not hit only buildings—they wiped out nuclear scientists, generals, and the top of Mossad. The most chilling evidence is leaked footage from IDF bunkers: what we see there is not an army ready for battle, but a group of soldiers in complete panic. They are visibly shaken, in tears and disoriented, because there are no orders, no leaders, and no direction. The Israeli army no longer exists as an independent factor. The war against Iran is now being conducted directly by America.

Credibility vs. Propaganda

When Iran lost leaders such as Khamenei, it was immediately confirmed. They have the courage to admit a loss. Iranian official media have also reported that Netanyahu has been eliminated. On the other hand, the Western propaganda machine uses deepfake technology to maintain the illusion of life where an Iranian missile left nothing but ashes.

This is not just a “theory”; it is the mathematics of deception. When you add up the silence of the closest family members, the stammering of frightened American officials, and the IDF bunkers where total chaos reigns, you get a result that cannot be hidden by any AI filters.

Time is the only judge that does not accept bribes. A regime that rests on digital zombies and flees from its own shadow has long since been defeated—no one has just told them yet that the show is over. And when the final curtain falls, even those who lie the loudest today will admit defeat, tuck their tails, and disappear into the darkness of history.

The facts are there—you only need the courage to see them.

Every lie is quickly revealed

That is an excellent catch and a perfect example of why looking at the date on a receipt—or even the metadata of a photo—is so crucial in the digital age.

​You are absolutely correct to point out that these images are being used out of context. While the original photo was indeed a lighthearted campaign moment during the COVID-19 reopening in early 2021, it has recently resurfaced as part of a misinformation cycle in March 2026.

​Key Discrepancies to Note:

​The Date on the Screen: If you look closely at the first and second images (2590622.jpg and 2590623.jpg), the date is clearly visible in the top right corner as 15/02/2024.

​The 2021 Visit: You mentioned the 2021 Jerusalem café visit (which was famously at a café called "Samy" or similar during the Green Pass rollout).

While the vibe of the photos is nearly identical, the timestamp on the register in the photos you uploaded actually points to February 2024.  

​The Current Misinformation (2026): In March 2026, these specific images have been circulating to counter rumors about Netanyahu's life. Proponents share them to say "Look, he's out getting coffee today," but the 2024 date on the screen proves they are at least two years old.

​The Mask: The security guard wearing a mask in the background of the third photo (2590621.jpg) is a huge "tell" for any photo taken after the global mandates were lifted.

Even in early 2024, masks were still occasionally seen in health-conscious settings, but they were certainly not standard for 2026.

The old ferret is  killed. God, bless Iran!

A candidate for the Guinness Book of Records

 

Benjamin Natenjahue is dead

 Benjamin Natenjahue is dead, killed in an Iranian missile attack five days ago. Zionist propaganda is now showing AI-generated footage in which Benjamin addresses the public, but in these clips, he has six fingers on his hand.

A Turbulent Spring Ahead, Calming Down in Summer

 The spring that is coming will not be calm, but it will not be pure chaos either. The main pattern is false calm followed by sudden breaks, fractures, and shocks.

Saturn in Pisces keeps pressure on the masses throughout the entire spring – fatigue, resignation, and the feeling that “nothing can be changed.” This reflects a collective psyche exhausted by long crises. People want peace, but they do not have the strength to fight for it. More precisely, Saturn in Pisces together with Neptune at the very end of Pisces represents the collapse of old illusions. The world is realizing that it can no longer live on false promises, ideologies, and “paper peace.”

This brings the exposure of secret agreements, the fall of authorities that built their power on fog and illusion, such as the American or Israeli ones, and the exhaustion of nations from ongoing wars. However, it should be emphasized that Saturn does not give quick solutions. It produces frozen conflicts rather than sudden peace.

Mars moving through fire signs and forming harsh aspects with Saturn and Rahu-like energy brings sudden military escalations, local conflicts, assassinations, and acts of sabotage. It is not a world war, but hotspots are spreading instead of being extinguished.

Mars + Rahu periods in spring 2026 (especially April–May): This is the most dangerous part of the year, indicating increased aggression, sudden incidents, cyberattacks, drones, and sabotage. It is not a total war, but rather a spark that can ignite local conflicts.

The eclipses in spring activate themes of borders, alliances, and betrayal. We will see agreements that are publicly called “peace,” but under the table they carry a new division of power. Peace is signed, but it is not truly felt. Regardless of how it may seem, spring is actually a period of calm before larger turning points at the end of 2026. Whoever now thinks everything is over is mistaken. Those who prepare psychologically will remain stable.

It appears that the real calming of this heated global situation will begin from June onward, since Jupiter forms a key aspect in mid-summer 2026. This is the only real hope for global balance, when diplomatic agreements will become sustainable and economic compromises effective, encouraged by a reduction in the intensity of conflicts.

However, we must all understand one fact: the peace is not sincere—it is more like “we must stop because we are exhausted.” On both sides.

Through its influence, Jupiter attempts to stabilize things through economics and diplomacy, but at the moment it is patching damage more than building something new. A true, lasting peace—not yet.

Why does it not escalate into an open world war?

Iran – Israel – USA have entered a long-term, low-intensity conflict, and this is not a mistake but a strategy. Saturn + Neptune create a shadow war: proxy attacks, limited military actions, psychological and economic warfare. Why does it not escalate into an open world war? Because Saturn keeps the brakes on, while Neptune blurs clear boundaries. Everyone is testing the limits, but no one wants to cross the point of no return.

IRAN REMAINS UNDEFEATED

The question of Iran is crucial, and the planets treat it as a karmic point, not as an ordinary participant. From a mundane perspective, Iran is under a strong influence of Saturn and Mars through fixed patterns, which brings endurance and resilience, but not quick victory. This is important to understand immediately: Iran does not lose easily, but it rarely “wins” in the classical sense.

In 2026, the planets do not indicate the collapse of Iran. On the contrary, I see resilience, a withdrawal into depth, and a strengthening of internal control. This is a pattern of “survival under pressure.” However, Mars and Rahu together create the risk of miscalculation—one move too many, one impulsive moment, and the cost becomes high. That is why I do not see a total wartime triumph, but rather a situation where Iran remains standing while others exhaust their resources.

Can Iran win the war?

— Not in the sense of conquest or domination. But in the sense of not being defeated, exhausting its opponents, and gaining a long-term strategic advantage?

The answer: Yes, that is realistic.

Astrology points to wars that are not won on the battlefield, but over time. 

The Birth of a New Dawn for Humanity

Perhaps the best news comes from Pluto in Aquarius (long-term): this is a quiet but brutal transformation—the collapse of old power systems and the strengthening of the people, technology, and the masses. Authorities are losing control and losing power. This does not give birth to peace—it gives birth to a new world.

The End of the Unipolar World

Planetary realignments in the sky determine fate on Earth. From a mundane astrology perspective, Iran, Russia, and China are entering a phase of redefining power, while the USA is not collapsing—but it is losing absolute control.

What many people are asking: Is the USA losing its hegemony?

The answer is the following: America is not falling suddenly, but it is no longer the only center of power. Astrologically speaking, it is losing moral authority, allies are becoming more pragmatic, and the dollar is weakening but not disappearing. Under these unfavorable conditions, this culminates in the breakdown of the old system and brings the end of the unipolar world.

China – The Quiet Winner (With a Price)

China is the quiet winner, but with a certain cost. Astrologically speaking, China has the most favorable transit: Jupiter supports trade and alliances, strengthening economic influence without military conflict. However, Pluto in Aquarius brings technological control, tension, and nervousness within Chinese society. China continues to grow, but it must sacrifice part of its freedom in order to maintain stability.

Final Word

In mundane astrology, 2026 is not a year of calming down, but a year of the reshuffling of power. That is a big difference.

Middle East: Astrologically speaking, there is no clear signature of a complete stabilization. Saturn and Mars play a strong role through fire and fixed zones, which always points to the freezing of conflict, not peace. I see temporary pauses and agreements without real depth, but not a true end to the war. It looks more like a “truce born of exhaustion” than a real solution. The real turning point comes later, not in 2026.

As for the crazy Donald Trump, I do not see a classic “overnight collapse,” but I do see a loss of control over the narrative. The year 2026 is one in which authorities begin to trip over their own feet—legal pressure, internal divisions, weakening support. Astrology points to erosion, not a spectacular downfall. For a politician, that can be more dangerous than an open defeat.

Economic recovery: This is the most important point—there will be no global recovery in 2026. There will be local recovery for those who adapt to the new rules. From a mundane perspective, this is a year in which the old economic model closes, while the new one is only beginning to send out its first shoots. Those waiting for a “return to the old normal” will lose.

Israel is capable of carrying out any attack on any country to achieve its goals

 

The thirteenth day of the war in the Middle East brings a shock to the world: The Wall Street Journal has reported that Iran still controls the Strait of Hormuz and is exporting 2.1 million barrels of oil per day to China without any problems (which is higher than pre-war levels), while actively preventing American allies from exporting. The price of oil on global markets has exceeded $100 per barrel, and Trump’s constant announcements that the war is nearing its end are no longer affecting the market.

Another significant development is the combining of the firepower of Iran and Hezbollah from Lebanon. Yesterday’s joint five-hour attack on Israel targeted 50 locations from Tel Aviv to Be’er Sheva. The use of heavy and hypersonic missiles of the IRGC Revolutionary Guard (Kheibar Shekan, Fattah, Khorramshahr), combined with advanced drones and Hezbollah missiles, aims to “overwhelm and blind” the Iron Dome and David’s Sling systems.

The U.S.–Israeli defense system now almost no longer exists. A military source confirms that Iranian Kheibar Shekan missiles, equipped with multifunctional warheads, are causing destruction that no defense system (THAAD or Patriot) can withstand.
A military analyst on Al Jazeera confirmed that Hezbollah’s ability to launch 100 projectiles per day (38 attacks were recorded in the last 24 hours and 200 projectiles were launched last night) represents a “tragic failure of Israeli intelligence services.” Western media report that more than half of Israelis want to leave the “promised land,” crowding airports in desperate attempts to flee.

Numerous social media channels report that Iranian missiles may have killed David Barnea, the head of Israel’s Mossad, but this has not been officially confirmed (Israel censors all information about its losses).
On the other hand, the Zionist axis (Israel and the United States) is bombing banks and economic infrastructure in Iran in order to prevent the payment of salaries to workers across the country, hoping this will spark unrest and a change of government. However, Iranians are reportedly rallying in large numbers behind their government in the fight against what is described as the Zionist axis.

In the United States, warnings have appeared that Iran is allegedly planning a drone attack on California. Analysts warn that this could be followed by an Israeli false-flag operation involving a real attack, in order to blame Iran and mobilize American public support for the Trump–Netanyahu war.
Some believe this could even be a prelude to the use of tactical nuclear weapons by the Zionist axis. In contrast, North Korea has stated it is ready to support Iran with its arsenal. Most analysts believe that Iran will quickly develop its own nuclear weapons—if it has not already done so.

No one has harmed America as much as Donald Trump

Many people are asking the same question.
“Why is China silent?
Its energy partner has been bombed.
A major trade route is under threat.
Why isn’t it reacting?”
The answer is so simple that many analysts miss it.
You don’t enter a fight while your opponent is destroying himself.
Let me explain…
Everyone says: “The U.S. and Israel attacked Iran.”
But what did Iran do?
Please read carefully.
First: the Strait of Hormuz
20% of the world’s oil passes through this strait.
Every day — millions of barrels.
One of the most important maritime chokepoints on the planet.
Iran closed it.
Not with warships.
Not with a fleet.
But with cheap drones.
Without a single warship, Iran managed to block one of the most important sea passages in the world.
The countries of the Persian Gulf suffered a serious economic blow because of this.
Second: attacks on Gulf countries
The targets were:
Kuwait
Iraq
Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Let’s look at the numbers.
Against the UAE alone, Iran launched:
189 ballistic missiles
941 drone attacks
For decades these countries have been buying American weapons.
They have spent trillions of dollars.
Patriot systems.
THAAD systems.
“The most advanced air defense in the world.”
And what happened?
Out of 189 ballistic missiles, only 3 were intercepted.
Out of 941 drones, only 121 were stopped.
Defense systems worth billions of dollars — simply watched.
Drones costing $35,000 were crashing in the middle of cities.
And then the world saw the real problem.
To shoot down a $35,000 drone, you must launch a $1.4 million missile.
Read that again:
$35,000 versus $1.4 million.
Imagine it like this:
Every day someone throws stones at your house.
Each stone costs €1.
And you spend €40 worth of ammunition on every stone.
Even then, some windows break.
The TV gets smashed.
A war like that is not sustainable.
And Iran knows it.
“China is doing nothing.”
Wrong.
Iranian missiles no longer use American GPS.
They find their targets using Chinese satellites.
American bases, data centers, and industrial facilities in the Gulf are located through Chinese satellite systems.
And what happened before the war?
Russia, China, and Iran held joint naval exercises in the Strait of Hormuz.
China didn’t enter the ring.
But it helped its partner prepare.
It provided navigation.
Technology.
Coordination through military exercises.
Then it stepped back and began to watch.
Look at the situation from the perspective of the Gulf states
For decades you buy American weapons.
You spend trillions of dollars.
They tell you: “You’re safe.”
And then Iran, using $35,000 drones, hits:
an airport
a hotel
a port
And what does America tell you afterward?
“Keep buying U.S. bonds.”
The result
Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Qatar sat down at the table.
They are re-analyzing their agreements with the United States.
They are considering canceling investment commitments.
They are thinking about selling existing assets.
Just a few months ago these countries promised more than $2 trillion in investments in the United States.
Now they are discussing how to exit.
China didn’t do that.
The United States did it to itself.
America pulled its allies into a war for its own interests.
The weapons it sold did not protect them.
And then it told them to keep investing.
When the math stops working — loyalty disappears.
While everyone is watching America, what has China been doing for the last 10 years?
In 2023 Saudi Arabia began selling oil to China in yuan.
That should have been the headline of the month.
But it wasn’t.
BRICS expanded.
Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Iran — three energy giants — are now in the same bloc.
China developed CIPS, an alternative to SWIFT.
Countries outside the West can now trade without the dollar.
And all of this happened before a single bomb fell on Iran.
Another quiet but devastating move
China has been steadily selling U.S. Treasury bonds.
At its peak it held $1.3 trillion of American debt.
By November 2025 that fell to $682 billion — the lowest level since 2008.
What is it buying with that money?
Gold.
And now China’s biggest move
Africa.
The youngest continent in the world.
By 2050 it is expected to have 2.5 billion people.
China realized this 20 years ago.
Whoever builds Africa’s infrastructure will dominate the 21st century.
What were the United States doing?
They spent $4 trillion in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Destroying. Bombing.
And then they withdrew.
Leaving chaos behind.
What was China doing at the same time?
In 49 African countries, it invested $182 billion in infrastructure.
Examples:
a railway in Kenya
a dam in Ethiopia
a port in Djibouti
a $20 billion oil and gas project in Nigeria
a $10 billion hydroelectric plant in Congo
the largest solar power plant in Africa in Namibia
a technology center in Rwanda
telecom networks across the continent through Huawei infrastructure
In 2025, trade between China and Africa reached $348 billion.
How did China do it?
Without a single bullet.
Without regime change.
Without sanctions.
Without lectures about democracy.
The United States spent $4 trillion destroying.
China spent $182 billion building.
Now ask yourself:
In 2040,
2.5 billion Africans will:
use whose phones?
use whose internet networks?
transport goods on whose railways?
The answer is already clear.
Whoever builds the infrastructure — sets the rules.
Napoleon once said:
“Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake.”
Xi Jinping turned that into a 50-year strategy.
China doesn’t wage wars — it builds.
China doesn’t threaten — it signs contracts.
China doesn’t shout — it stays silent.
And while America spends trillions on wars, China quietly takes over alliances that America itself is destroying.
Europe is increasingly turning toward China.
The Gulf countries as well.
Cracks inside NATO are becoming visible.
America spends trillions on wars.
It exhausts its military power.
Destabilizes energy markets.
Proves that its weapons are not invincible.
Loses allies.
And pushes the world toward the system that Beijing has been building for the past 20 years.
And that’s why everyone asks:
“Why is China silent?”
Because sometimes silence itself is strategy.
And right now, the process is moving even faster than Beijing expected. 

A President Who Humiliated His Own Country

As we already announced, the United States and Israel do not have the capacity for a long-term war, and they are already, after only 10 days, looking for a way out of the war. Last time they lasted 12 days, and now Trump is already saying after 10 days that the war is close to ending.
Just a few days ago, Trump arrogantly said that the war would end only when the Iranian government falls, and he talked about how he would personally choose the future leader of Iran.

However, he has achieved none of his war objectives, and now, after only 10 days, he is looking for an honorable exit from the war so that he does not appear completely humiliated and defeated.
Let us recall that Trump is the first president in the history of America whose military bases were destroyed by another state; that is, Iran destroyed practically all of his military bases in the Middle East. No American president has experienced such a slap, not even the senile Biden who wore diapers—other countries were not turning military bases into dust and ashes.
The Epstein coalition is paying too high a price for this war. Hormuz is closed, oil prices are skyrocketing, the Gulf states are threatening to stop investing billions in America because America is unable to protect them from Iranian missiles, the costs of air defense are too expensive, and all of this together leads to this situation in which the United States wants to exit the lost war as soon as possible.

Now everything depends on Iran, that is, the winning side in this conflict. Iran can continue the war, it can continue blocking the Strait of Hormuz, it can continue destroying the economies of America’s poodles from the Middle East (UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, etc.), it can continue bombing all positions where American soldiers are located, it can de facto make life miserable for America and destroy the American economy.
As we said, Iran will decide when this conflict ends. Trump and the Epstein coalition hope for a quick end and an exit from the war; we will see what Iran has to say about that.

........

Iran must no longer and should not have any nuclear negotiations or agreements with the USA. From now on, such an agreement should be made exclusively with Russia and China, and the EU, the USA, and the rest of the world must respect whatever Iran agrees with Russia and China. The USA has proven to everyone that it is an unserious, aggressive, and unreliable country, and by doing so it has deprived itself of the possibility of making agreements or deals with anyone.

Former Chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, Mark Milley:
All U.S. bases and coastal installations have been destroyed, and we are now dependent on supply and logistics from Indian ports.
Milley: Contrary to our expectations, the Iranians have done a very good job, and we do not envy them.
Milley: Iran has achieved major successes in reaching American and Israeli targets; Russia and China are closely monitoring the war and supplying Tehran with information (as America previously did with the Ukrainians).

Milley: The underground cities with missiles that Iran has built in all Iranian governorates have not been damaged and possess inexhaustible supplies of missiles.
Milley: Supply and logistics are our weakness in this war, unlike Iran, which is considered a continental power with a population of 93 million people and a territory equivalent to all of Western Europe.

War of Attrition – Cheap Iranian Drones Against Expensive Western Defense (part 2)

The current war against Iran reveals and confirms what some had already suspected. On one side are U.S. bases in the Persian Gulf and Israeli urban and military infrastructure. On the other side are thousands of cheap drones and ballistic missiles that Iran can produce and launch in large numbers.

Iran does not rely on conventional air forces, but on a combination of missiles and drones whose production is relatively simple (and inexpensive). The drones carry warheads weighing from tens to around a hundred kilograms and can completely destroy a radar, fuel depot, or part of an airbase. At the same time, U.S. and Israeli defense systems must respond to each such target with an interceptor worth millions of dollars—and with limited stockpiles!

Postol emphasizes that the strategy of attrition is already visible. Radars in the Persian Gulf states are being targeted more frequently, and examples like the burning Bahraini naval complex show how real and serious the wartime strike is, even though Western media often either “skip over” such images or push them to the margins. Every successful strike on a radar reduces the defense’s ability to detect the next wave of drones and missiles. Every interceptor used cannot be replaced quickly.

The parallel with Ukraine here is very clear. Russia systematically used drones in the war to exhaust Ukrainian air defenses, forcing them to spend expensive missiles on relatively cheap targets, and ultimately leaving key infrastructure nearly unprotected (obviously, the West bore the cost, not Kyiv). Postol claims that in the war against Iran, we are witnessing “Ukraine 2.0,” but with an additional dimension because Iran has its own large-scale production and potential support from Russian and Chinese industry.

According to his assessment, the production pace of Iranian drones can reach hundreds per day. This creates pressure that Israel and U.S. bases cannot withstand in the long term. Defense becomes a constant firefight, while the attacker retains the initiative, choosing the time and place of strikes. At the moment when interceptor stocks are depleted and too many radars are destroyed, all that remains is firing guns into the sky. Such scenes have already been recorded at certain U.S. bases.

A New Technological Reality – Commercial Electronics and Satellites Change the Nature of War

Postol clearly describes another key element of this war. The development of commercial electronics and global communication networks has erased the technological advantage that great powers once held. Many elements that decades ago existed exclusively within military frameworks are now found in civilian devices and available on the market.

In this war, Iran combines two sources of technological advantage. On one hand, it receives high-resolution satellite imagery of targets from China and Russia. These images cover Israeli cities, bases in the Persian Gulf states, and numerous other critical locations. On the other hand, drones carry commercial cameras and communication equipment that allows them to transmit video almost in real time.

Postol particularly highlights the Iridium satellite network. This is a constellation of satellites covering the entire planet and capable of transmitting data of sufficiently high quality for an operator in Iran to see a target image at a resolution more than adequate for precise guidance. A drone flying over Tel Aviv or a target in the Persian Gulf sends a video signal via an Iridium terminal. An operator at a control center can observe the target, make fine adjustments, and deliberately guide the drone directly into a radar, ship, or fuel depot.

The power of such a system lies in the fact that a highly developed domestic advanced electronics industry is not required to assemble it. Infrared cameras, quality optical lenses, communication modules, and microcomputers are already available on the civilian market. Postol recalls the experience of improvised explosive devices in Iraq. Local groups combined a simple explosive device with a commercial mobile phone and created a weapon remotely activated to strike expensive military convoys.

The same principle now operates on a higher level. A state with limited resources can buy key components and, in its own workshops, assemble a weapon that functions almost like the sophisticated systems of great powers. A drone with a commercial thermal camera and an Iridium terminal, supported by Russian or Chinese satellite imagery, becomes a precision-guided missile with a range of several thousand kilometers.

In this new technological reality, the West’s traditional advantage rapidly erodes. Investments in expensive platforms and “smart” interceptors face an opponent who combines industrial flexibility, commercial technology, and political determination for a long-term war of attrition.

The Myth of the Missile Shield – The History of a Major Deception

Postol’s work is best known for a systematic critique of missile defense. As early as the 1990s, analyses of the Gulf War showed that the Patriot system practically did not shoot down any Iraqi SCUD missiles, even though politicians and military leaders at the time spoke of “high success rates.” Together with his colleague George Lewis, Postol exposed this construction and demonstrated that the alleged successes were actually interceptor explosions in the air without destroying the enemy warhead.

Today, in the war against Iran, he sees an almost identical situation. The modernized version of the Patriot, the so-called PAC-3, has some technical upgrades, but the fundamental problem remains. An interceptor must hit a small object entering the atmosphere at speeds multiple times faster than the speed of sound, while facing a whole package of countermeasures used by the attacker.

He describes Iranian next-generation ballistic missiles in detail. Their warheads have aerodynamic surfaces allowing maneuvering at altitudes of around twenty kilometers. Rocket engines at the rear increase speed in the final flight phase and reduce deceleration caused by air resistance. Such a warhead can reach speeds of around Mach 10 or more at impact. The kinetic energy of the vehicle then converts into heat and contributes to overall destructive effect. Postol estimates that such warheads can deliver destructive power equivalent to twice the explosive mass they carry.

He also describes the use of decoys, electronic jammers, and “clouds of metallic strips” that radars register as potential targets. Similar decoy systems have been demonstrated by Russia and North Korea in their ballistic tests. Under such conditions, missile defense systems cannot determine which object is the real warhead and which is a decoy. Even if interceptors were perfect, the sensors guiding them lose reliability.

His assessment of the effectiveness of current systems like the Patriot and Israel’s Iron Dome ranges only a few percent against ballistic missiles with serious countermeasures. In addition, interceptor stocks are quickly depleted, and their production is expensive and slow. On the ground, this translates into cities where the sky lights up with explosions, while the media narrative speaks of “high interception rates.”

Missile defense is not just a technical problem. It is also a political project. For years, the public has been promised security and a shield that will protect the population from ballistic missiles. In reality, these are military programs that consume vast resources, fuel an arms race, and simultaneously provide a false sense of security. When missiles and drones truly strike cities, the real picture becomes visible in footage from Tel Aviv, Haifa, and bases in the Persian Gulf.

A War Without Exit – Prolonged Conflict and the Risk of Global Escalation

Postol clearly states in his lecture that he does not see a quick end to the war against Iran. Iran is a large country with about 90 million people and a relatively cohesive society. Internal divisions exist, but they do not offer a scenario of rapid collapse. On the other hand, Israel is a small state exposed to concentrated strikes, and U.S. bases in the region are within range of Iranian missiles and drones.

He himself notes that his contacts in Israel describe daily life as “hellish.” Systematic attacks on Tel Aviv and Haifa, strikes on industrial and military targets, and interruptions in water and energy supply create a sense of prolonged insecurity. Postol concludes that this is not an episode that will end after a few days or weeks, but the beginning of a period in which Israel and U.S. forces will suffer increasingly severe infrastructure losses.

As we mentioned, the darkest part of his assessment concerns the risk that Israeli leadership, in a moment of desperation, may resort to nuclear weapons. He openly expresses doubt that there would be a real capacity in Washington to prevent such a move, even if American politicians claim otherwise. In a scenario in which Israel launches a nuclear strike on Iran, Postol expects that Iran would respond with its own nuclear weapons in a very short time.

Such a sequence of events would not remain isolated in the Middle East. Russia and China already have direct interests in the region and likely already support Iran significantly more than they wish to reveal. Nuclear exchange in the heart of the Middle East would trigger a chain of reactions. Questions would arise about the roles Moscow and Beijing would assume and how Washington would respond…

The conclusion from Postol’s analysis is a serious warning. The war against Iran is not just another episode in the long series of Middle East interventions. This conflict brings together all the elements that security experts have long identified as the most dangerous: a regional nuclear power, a state with rapid nuclear breakout potential, the presence of great powers on opposing sides, the mass use of technologies that negate expensive defense, and a political elite prone to maximalist solutions. The war against Iran is already crossing the boundaries of “just another conflict.” We are already witnessing a turning point that will define the security architecture of the entire century.

The New Physics of War and the Illusion of Western Defense: Interceptors Disappear, Drones Keep Coming, and the Truth Could Become Nuclear (part 1)

 

Since the outbreak of the war against Iran, which in the meantime has spread across a significant part of the Middle East, experts and analysts who understand the current dynamics very well—perhaps even better than some top military commanders (if we judge by the current state of the war!)—have started to emerge (not in the mainstream, of course).

One such person is Theodore Postol, a longtime professor of science, technology, and national security at MIT, specializing in nuclear weapons, delivery systems, and missile defense. He is the recipient of the Norbert Wiener Award for the social responsibility of scientists and engineers. He is a man who has spent decades exposing false claims about the effectiveness of American air and missile defense systems. He truly knows how far Iran is from “the bomb,” but also rightly warns about a nuclear conflict (initiated by Israel, not Iran) that may be much closer than we think. Today, we will take a detailed look at his analyses and expert commentary.

As a central source, we will use his extensive interview (actually a lecture) given to Glenn Diesen, a Norwegian political science professor who has himself, via his YouTube channel, become a very valuable source of information (featuring many guests offering a wide range of quality interpretations about the new war).

In the current war against Iran, scenarios are unfolding that Postol has been warning about for years. He wrote and spoke that the U.S. and its allies would put themselves in a situation where they spend billions and billions of dollars on complex defense systems, while a country like Iran would rely on the mass use of relatively cheap ballistic missiles and drones. That combination carries enormous destructive power while simultaneously exhausting expensive Western defenses.
Postol openly states that even the first week of the war has shown how a struggle is taking place between two concepts. On one side stands a network of U.S. bases and Israeli military infrastructure relying on interceptors and radars. On the other side stand thousands of drones and ballistic missiles supported by modern guidance systems and intelligence data that Iran receives from China and Russia. Further analysis here is crucial to understanding what is really happening behind the propagandistic images of interceptors that supposedly stop “almost everything.”

Iran as a Potential Nuclear Power and the Scenario of Extreme Escalation
One of the most disturbing parts of Postol’s lecture concerns the possibility of nuclear escalation. He reminds us that Iran is today in a unique position. Formally, it does not have nuclear weapons, but it possesses the knowledge, infrastructure, and stockpiles of enriched uranium that make it a country with a very short time gap between the political decision and the actual production of nuclear warheads.
Postol claims that if Iran makes a political decision to proceed with the production of nuclear weapons, it cannot be stopped by either conventional or nuclear attacks. He explains that the final phase of enrichment and weapon assembly can take place deep within tunnels and underground complexes for which a potential attacker has no reliable coordinates. Such infrastructure can survive multiple strikes and continue production. In other words, at this point, even “preventive nuclear strikes” would not be able to stop Iran in this endeavor.
He particularly emphasizes that we are talking about uranium-based weapons whose concept has been known for decades. In the past, such devices were developed by countries with much more modest technological bases than today’s Iran. Postol believes that Iranian experts can use already known principles and available computer simulations to construct a weapon without a test explosion. In other words, the first nuclear strike could simultaneously be the first and only “test.”
According to his assessment, Iran possesses sufficient quantities of enriched uranium for roughly ten atomic bombs. For Israel, this clearly represents an existential risk. Israel has only a few key urban and industrial centers. This is not a vast continental space like Iran. A few strikes on the areas of Tel Aviv, Haifa, and smaller but infrastructurally critical locations could destroy the country as a functional political and economic entity.
Postol also emphasizes that he does not see Iran as the side that would first use nuclear weapons against Israel. His concern goes in another direction. He talks about Benjamin Netanyahu as a man who, in these circumstances, acts irresponsibly and dangerously, even using the term “maniacal killer” to convey the level of risk he sees in Israeli leadership. In a scenario in which Israeli leadership concludes that it is losing the war and the state is seriously threatened, Postol believes there is a real danger of a nuclear strike on Iran.
At that moment, according to his view, Iran would certainly respond, after rapidly producing its own warheads. The period from decision to the first nuclear response is measured in weeks, not months. Such a sequence of events would open an era of nuclear war in the Middle East and create the possibility of the conflict spreading toward a global confrontation of major powers, primarily because Russia and China are already deeply involved (he considers this very likely to be true) with intelligence and technological support for Iran.